Sunday afternoon we will see the Saints playing inhospitable hosts to the visiting Kansas City Chiefs in a game that will likely see 60 or more total points scored by the final whistle. While the Saints have some special offensive weapons at their disposal, they pale in comparison to the explosive threat that is the Chiefs offense. It’s a game that could be a Super Bowl preview and it could also be a blow out. The Saints are coming off of a loss at the hands of the Jalen Hurts led Eagles. A rookie in his first ever NFL start. The Saints brass shocked everyone when they announced that Drew Brees will be the starter on Sunday. Mr .Brees plays QB and is just 4 weeks removed from fracturing 11 ribs and puncturing a lung.
Quarterbacks who have had bruised ribs express the need for injections just to be able to crouch for the snap and run let alone torque their torso to throw a football. This is a man who had half of his rib cage broken and a lung with a hole in it a month ago and his team is claiming he is ready to go. We will all find out after he takes his first few hits, especially if any D-Linemen fall on him. It’s a risky gamble for a team that is still fighting to be the number 1 seed in the NFC and with the playoffs right around the corner. It’s even more ridiculous when you consider the fact that it probably doesn’t matter who is under Center, the Chiefs are just a much better team. New Orleans is 10-3 but have beaten a lot of mediocre teams with losing records by one score beating four of them by three points.
Statistically, it’s no contest in the passing game. Patrick Mahomes, with 4208 yards, has over 1000 more yards than the three Saints QBs combined. The Saints have 22 passing TDs and Mahomes has 11 more with 33. The trio of Saints has been sacked 26 times and thrown 5 interceptions and Mahomes, while also throwing 5 interceptions, has only been sacked 19 times all season. The Saints’ leading rusher Alvin Kamara, has 723 yards which is 1 less than the Chiefs rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire. The top wide receivers on the New Orleans roster are Kamara and Emmanuel Sanders with 699 and 504 yards or 1203 yards combined and the duo has 8 total TDs with 4 each. Meanwhile, Travis Kelce has 47 more yards with 1250 and one more TD with 9. He’s currently the NFL’s leading receiver. The second leading receiver in KC is Tyreek Hill who has 1158 yards and 14 receiving touchdowns, he’s #4 in the NFL. The Chiefs 3rd leading receiver is in fact their 5th option. WR Mecole Hardman, with just 33 catches has 3 TDs and just 15 fewer yards than the Saints Sanders.
The Chiefs are scoring more points per game while the Saints are allowing a few less points per game. The Saints have 300 more yards rushing on the season or 23 yards per game but the Chiefs have a slight edge in yards per carry. The Chiefs have intercepted the ball 2 more times and punted it a lot less, 18 versus the Saints 33. A huge disparity is in the fumbles department. New Orleans players have fumbled the ball a total of 24 times this season which is twice as many as the Chiefs 12.
Look for this game to be a bit of a chess match at times with the Chiefs occasionally striking deep and getting a few easy scores to stretch out their lead. When the black rubber field turf pellets settle I expect the Chiefs to win 38-24, regardless of who starts for the home town Saints.
By Danilo “DJ” Di Julio – RGR contributor and host of Kingdom Corner, host of CHIEFS CHAT on YouTube
RGR Football is led by Ryan Tracy, the founder of Rogue Analytics Consulting and RGR Media. The RGR Staff brings film analysis, X’s and O’s and die-hard Chiefs fans to the heart of ChiefsKingdom!