Cincinnati is coming off a dominant win over the Ravens and has no plans of getting their foot off the gas. New York poses little to no threat to what the Bengals have on both sides of the ball. Defensively, Cincinnati has allowed 25 points or fewer in each game this season, and offensively they have Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase carving up secondaries week in and week out. These tigers should dominate on the road.
In the second and final regular-season installation of this AFC South battle, the Titans pay a visit up north to the Colts. This game has the ability to be a sneaky good matchup as Indianapolis has won 3 of their last 4 and Tennessee looks to build upon back-to-back statement wins over the Bills and Chiefs. In fact, since week 5, the Titans are 1 of 4 teams that is undefeated and averaging 30+ PPG (Rams, Cowboys, Buccaneers). This week they’ll look to build on that offensive firepower without WR Julio Jones, but that simply means more looks for his running mate in A.J. Brown who has looked great off late.
Pair Brown’s new-found production with the rushing attack of Derrick Henry and this Titan team has all the firepower they need to take down the Colts. It’s worth noting that Ryan Tannehill’s only game with 2+ passing scores came in Week 3 against Indy (3 TD passes). He won’t necessarily need to repeat a similar performance thanks to Henry doing all the heavy lifting, but Carson Wentz has the ability to win the QB battle as he has 2+ pass TD and 0 INT in 4 straight games coming into this matchup. Ultimately, I trust Tennessee to take care of business on the road.
Buffalo has won six straight games against the Dolphins and the team is coming off a bye week ready to roll after a heartbreaking Week 6 loss to the Titans. Josh Allen and the Bills know a favorable matchup against a divisional rival will give this team all their confidence in the world back. It’s worth noting that The Dolphins are 6-0 all-time in games played on Halloween, however, the Bills 6-0 streak coming off a bye week since 2014 may say otherwise as well…
After a little scare from Jared Goff and the Lions last week, Sean McVay will likely be running a tight ship within the locker room despite heading into a favorable matchup. Houston is averaging a mere 13.9 PPG and has averaged 80.7 rush YPG (3rd-fewest in NFL) and 3.3 yards/carry (fewest in NFL) this season. Houston is simply shooting themselves in the foot and taking on a high-powered Rams offense this week is looking more and more like a blowout.
Sam Darnold has been more of a disappointment than Panther fans would like to acknowledge and the reality of this game is that Atlanta has a far superior quarterback slinging the pigskin. Since week 3, Matt Ryan has 301.0 pass YPG, 10 TD, 1 INT, and a 107.0 passer rating. Meanwhile, Darnold since week 4 has an abysmal 56.3 comp pct, 199.0 pass YPG, 4 TD, 7 INT, and a 61.2 passer rating. To put the cherry on top, Carolina is winless (0-4 record) without RB Christian McCaffrey this season.
San Francisco has lost 4 straight games after a 2-0 start to the season this week they head to Chicago in what looks like a favorable matchup. The Bears are the first team since the 2008 Titans to have fewer than 200 pass yards in each of their first 7 games of a season. Their 871 pass yards this season ranks as the team’s fewest through the first 7 games since 1979. Kyle Shanahan should try to be a bit more aggressive on the offensive side and trust his defense to hold things down against Justin Fields who ranks last in pass YPG, passer rating, and comp pct among 33 qualified QBs this season.
The return of a classic AFC North rivalry is upon us in the earl-window. The Steelers have lost 2 straight games vs Browns (incl. playoffs) but have not lost 3 straight since the 1986-89 season. The return of Baker Mayfield and RB Nick Chubb to the Browns offense gives the team all the firepower they need to take down the Steelers. Ben Roethlisberger seems too inconsistent as Pittsburgh has won each game this season when he throws 0 INT (lost each game with 1+ INT). Cleveland’s defense should come away with at least two takeaways to take this one at home.
I’m beyond inclined to pick Detroit to beat this Eagles team, however, the numbers look ugly for Motor City. The Lions have scored fewer than 20 points in 6 straight games averaging 18.3 PPG as their defense has allowed 28.6 PPG. Philadelphia may be below .500 through 7 weeks for the 4th straight season and as bad as they have looked, Detroit has been worse.